Registration for 2011 P1 – Phase 2C
to
For a child who is ineligible for or unsuccessful in earlier phases.
Registration: Monday 2nd August 2010, Tuesday 3rd August 2010 and Wednesday 4th August 2010
Announcement of Result: By Friday 13th August 2010
Update: 27 July 2010
Updated 9 Aug 2010. Phase 2C is completed. 2010 has been a most competitive year where over 80 schools require balloting in Phase 2C, most within 1km!
The final chart now allows us to compare the effectiveness of using historical data for estimating the chances of balloting in a school. As we can see, almost all those with a rating of 1.0 ended up in balloting with 1km. The only exception was Temasek Primary, but registrant hopefuls’ fates were not much better there – there was a cut off at 1km, which means that no one above 1km was registered in Phase 2C for 2010, even though there was no balloting.
For the magenta group the projections were more or less accurate. There were 2 clear outlyers:
– Woodgrove Primary (No balloting required, but final TUR at 99%!)
– Woodlands Ring Primary (Balloting for >2km instead of the usual <2km)
For the yellow group, things were less clear. We have a number of schools going into <1km balloting:
– Yew Tee
– Shuqun
– Jiemin
– Jurong
– River Valley
– Greenwood
– Raffles Girls’
We also have a couple of schools in this group escaping balloting this year:
– CHIJ OLQP
– CHIJ Kellock
Finally, for the green group, 8 schools escaped balloting, while 3 schools went into <1km balloting which was uncharacteristics of these schools. The accuracy of the projection is only 4 out of 17.
From this, we can safely say that it is much easier to predict the schools that will be going into <1km balloting than others.
Ballot History (2006-2009) in Phase 2C
=1.0 (RED)
Chance of balloting in Phase 2C for under 1km is VERY HIGH. No chance for anyone who is outside of 1km
From 0.75 – 0.96 (MAGENTA)
Chance of balloting in Phase 2C for under 1km is HIGH. Small chance for anyone who is between 1-2km. No chance for anyone staying beyond 2km to participate in the balloting.
From 0.38 and 0.67 (YELLOW)
Chance of balloting in Phase 2C for between 1km-2km is HIGH. Great for those staying within 1km because they may not need to ballot. A little chance for those staying outside of 2km to participate in the balloting.
Below 0.33
Chance of balloting in Phase 2C for above 2km is HIGH. Great for those staying within 2km because they may not need to ballot. Those staying above 2km may have to ballot.
Schools ranked higher in the group has a higher probability for the group’s stated outcome.
If the school is not listed here, it means it has not undergone balloting for the last 4 years in Phase 2C.
These measures are purely indicative. KiasuParents.com takes no responsibility for the actual outcomes of Phase 2C. Please use this table with caution.
| School | 2010 | ||||||||
| Places | Phase 1 | Phase 2A | Phase 2B | Phase 2C | Ballot Hist | ||||
| TUR | APP | TUR | APP | TUR | APP | TUR | 2C | ||
| Catholic High | 210 | 38% | 86% | 91% | 533% | 96% | 644% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Princess Elizabeth Primary | 210 | 61% | 51% | 81% | 15% | 82% | 373% | 100% | 1.00 |
| South View Primary | 300 | 52% | 53% | 78% | 124% | 89% | 367% | 100% | 1.00 |
| West Grove Primary | 300 | 47% | 6% | 50% | 153% | 75% | 355% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Nan Chiau Primary | 300 | 44% | 23% | 57% | 122% | 78% | 314% | 100% | 1.00 |
| St Hilda’s Primary | 270 | 52% | 33% | 68% | 155% | 84% | 295% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Rosyth | 330 | 42% | 41% | 66% | 100% | 83% | 291% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Rulang Primary | 300 | 44% | 46% | 70% | 113% | 85% | 287% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Nan Hua Primary | 240 | 43% | 48% | 70% | 111% | 85% | 233% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Red Swastika | 270 | 44% | 53% | 74% | 78% | 84% | 230% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Rivervale Primary | 210 | 43% | 8% | 48% | 73% | 67% | 206% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Pei Chun Public | 360 | 43% | 52% | 73% | 120% | 86% | 200% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Jurong West Primary | 270 | 38% | 13% | 46% | 43% | 57% | 196% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Admiralty Primary | 270 | 49% | 10% | 54% | 65% | 69% | 194% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Mee Toh | 300 | 42% | 5% | 45% | 89% | 70% | 191% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Gongshang Primary | 240 | 53% | 27% | 66% | 95% | 82% | 191% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Northland Primary | 240 | 44% | 14% | 52% | 60% | 67% | 171% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Ai Tong | 330 | 45% | 58% | 77% | 144% | 88% | 170% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Evergreen Primary | 240 | 43% | 12% | 50% | 56% | 63% | 158% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Tao Nan | 360 | 44% | 38% | 65% | 181% | 83% | 157% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Hougang Primary | 240 | 45% | 8% | 50% | 47% | 62% | 150% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Chongzheng Primary | 180 | 47% | 27% | 61% | 17% | 64% | 142% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Chongfu Primary | 300 | 39% | 15% | 48% | 122% | 74% | 134% | 100% | 1.00 |
| De La Salle | 270 | 41% | 16% | 50% | 85% | 71% | 131% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Canberra Primary | 270 | 43% | 11% | 50% | 34% | 58% | 124% | 100% | 1.00 |
| St Anthony’s Primary | 270 | 35% | 11% | 42% | 64% | 61% | 122% | 100% | 1.00 |
| East Spring Primary | 180 | 43% | 16% | 52% | 9% | 54% | 109% | 100% | 1.00 |
| Temasek Primary | 270 | 39% | 28% | 56% | 83% | 74% | 106% | 100% | 1.00 |
| CHIJ St Nicholas Girls’ | 210 | 34% | 68% | 79% | 174% | 89% | 209% | 100% | 0.96 |
| Nanyang Primary | 390 | 46% | 66% | 82% | 142% | 91% | 189% | 100% | 0.96 |
| Henry Park Primary | 330 | 40% | 45% | 67% | 67% | 78% | 149% | 100% | 0.96 |
| Yu Neng Primary | 180 | 54% | 39% | 72% | 92% | 85% | 263% | 100% | 0.92 |
| Kong Hwa | 270 | 41% | 36% | 62% | 149% | 81% | 154% | 100% | 0.92 |
| Holy Innocents’ Primary | 300 | 40% | 37% | 63% | 104% | 81% | 143% | 100% | 0.92 |
| Xinmin Primary | 210 | 50% | 26% | 63% | 21% | 67% | 133% | 100% | 0.92 |
| Pasir Ris Primary | 180 | 48% | 12% | 54% | 52% | 66% | 128% | 100% | 0.92 |
| Fairfield Methodist Primary | 270 | 36% | 36% | 59% | 143% | 80% | 118% | 100% | 0.92 |
| Maha Bodhi | 330 | 45% | 38% | 66% | 98% | 83% | 118% | 100% | 0.92 |
| White Sands Primary | 180 | 38% | 11% | 45% | 16% | 49% | 108% | 100% | 0.92 |
| Woodlands Ring Primary | 240 | 44% | 6% | 47% | 8% | 49% | 102% | 100% | 0.92 |
| Anglo-Chinese School (Primary) | 240 | 23% | 79% | 84% | 125% | 92% | 158% | 100% | 0.83 |
| Bukit Panjang Primary | 270 | 44% | 24% | 57% | 78% | 74% | 146% | 100% | 0.83 |
| Compassvale Primary | 210 | 47% | 11% | 52% | 18% | 57% | 144% | 100% | 0.83 |
| Keming Primary | 210 | 46% | 15% | 54% | 38% | 63% | 132% | 100% | 0.83 |
| Paya Lebar Methodist Girls’ | 270 | 25% | 18% | 39% | 114% | 69% | 130% | 100% | 0.83 |
| CHIJ Primary (Toa Payoh) | 210 | 23% | 33% | 49% | 131% | 74% | 125% | 100% | 0.83 |
| Methodist Girls’ School (Primary) | 210 | 33% | 47% | 64% | 155% | 82% | 114% | 100% | 0.83 |
| Unity Primary | 210 | 41% | 6% | 45% | 0% | 45% | 109% | 100% | 0.83 |
| St Andrew’s Junior | 240 | 20% | 25% | 40% | 110% | 70% | 108% | 100% | 0.83 |
| Woodgrove Primary | 270 | 49% | 6% | 52% | 38% | 61% | 98% | 99% | 0.83 |
| Poi Ching | 270 | 40% | 15% | 49% | 45% | 60% | 112% | 100% | 0.79 |
| Anderson Primary | 210 | 43% | 25% | 57% | 64% | 71% | 156% | 100% | 0.75 |
| Pei Hwa Presbyterian Primary | 330 | 52% | 44% | 73% | 155% | 87% | 152% | 100% | 0.75 |
| Radin Mas Primary | 240 | 40% | 15% | 50% | 49% | 62% | 138% | 100% | 0.75 |
| Hong Wen | 210 | 32% | 6% | 36% | 64% | 56% | 120% | 100% | 0.75 |
| Anglo-Chinese School (Junior) | 270 | 29% | 34% | 53% | 130% | 76% | 119% | 100% | 0.75 |
| Singapore Chinese Girls’ Primary | 200 | 28% | 47% | 62% | 74% | 76% | 113% | 100% | 0.75 |
| Yew Tee Primary | 240 | 45% | 6% | 48% | 17% | 53% | 138% | 100% | 0.67 |
| Shuqun Primary | 300 | 41% | 11% | 48% | 11% | 51% | 131% | 100% | 0.67 |
| Kuo Chuan Presbyterian Primary | 240 | 40% | 6% | 44% | 24% | 50% | 123% | 100% | 0.67 |
| St Joseph’s Institution Junior | 240 | 23% | 32% | 47% | 125% | 72% | 122% | 100% | 0.67 |
| Jiemin Primary | 180 | 51% | 19% | 60% | 3% | 61% | 155% | 100% | 0.58 |
| Clementi Primary | 240 | 45% | 22% | 57% | 10% | 59% | 125% | 100% | 0.58 |
| CHIJ Our Lady of the Nativity | 240 | 17% | 13% | 28% | 64% | 50% | 108% | 100% | 0.58 |
| Jurong Primary | 270 | 46% | 29% | 61% | 27% | 66% | 133% | 100% | 0.50 |
| Fuchun Primary | 270 | 49% | 16% | 57% | 3% | 58% | 116% | 100% | 0.50 |
| Maris Stella High | 320 | 27% | 22% | 43% | 107% | 71% | 113% | 100% | 0.50 |
| River Valley Primary | 240 | 43% | 37% | 64% | 91% | 80% | 109% | 100% | 0.50 |
| CHIJ Our Lady of Good Counsel | 150 | 16% | 18% | 31% | 81% | 59% | 107% | 100% | 0.50 |
| CHIJ Our Lady Queen of Peace | 180 | 20% | 7% | 26% | 58% | 47% | 99% | 99% | 0.50 |
| Greenwood Primary | 270 | 50% | 6% | 53% | 13% | 56% | 103% | 100% | 0.46 |
| Zhangde Primary | 240 | 40% | 10% | 47% | 6% | 48% | 122% | 100% | 0.42 |
| Geylang Methodist School | 270 | 36% | 12% | 44% | 8% | 46% | 119% | 100% | 0.42 |
| St Stephen’s | 210 | 19% | 14% | 30% | 76% | 57% | 110% | 100% | 0.42 |
| CHIJ (Kellock) | 200 | 20% | 7% | 25% | 32% | 37% | 98% | 99% | 0.42 |
| Raffles Girls’ Primary | 300 | 30% | 41% | 59% | 100% | 79% | 121% | 100% | 0.38 |
| Beacon Primary | 240 | 25% | 1% | 25% | 10% | 29% | 108% | 100% | 0.38 |
| Telok Kurau Primary | 210 | 45% | 17% | 54% | 2% | 55% | 111% | 100% | 0.33 |
| Greenridge Primary | 270 | 43% | 16% | 52% | 2% | 52% | 123% | 100% | 0.25 |
| St Margaret’s Primary | 210 | 24% | 12% | 33% | 46% | 49% | 120% | 100% | 0.25 |
| Xingnan Primary | 300 | 33% | 12% | 41% | 1% | 41% | 95% | 97% | 0.25 |
| Elias Park Primary | 180 | 37% | 8% | 42% | 0% | 42% | 86% | 92% | 0.25 |
| Bendemeer Primary | 150 | 31% | 6% | 35% | 0% | 35% | 52% | 69% | 0.25 |
| Innova Primary | 240 | 37% | 0% | 37% | 8% | 40% | 122% | 100% | 0.17 |
| Fengshan Primary | 210 | 50% | 17% | 58% | 7% | 60% | 107% | 100% | 0.17 |
| Kheng Cheng | 240 | 37% | 9% | 43% | 3% | 43% | 79% | 88% | 0.17 |
| Endeavour Primary | 270 | 41% | 0% | 41% | 15% | 45% | 125% | 100% | 0.08 |
| CHIJ (Katong) Primary | 240 | 20% | 22% | 37% | 82% | 62% | 110% | 100% | 0.08 |
| Ngee Ann Primary | 240 | 35% | 9% | 41% | 23% | 48% | 108% | 100% | 0.08 |
| St Gabriel’s Primary | 150 | 23% | 11% | 32% | 45% | 47% | 105% | 100% | 0.08 |
| St Anthony’s Canossian Primary | 210 | 26% | 6% | 30% | 38% | 44% | 78% | 88% | 0.08 |
| Marymount Convent | 240 | 23% | 8% | 28% | 21% | 36% | 73% | 83% | 0.08 |
| Cedar Primary | 120 | 31% | 10% | 38% | 0% | 38% | 69% | 81% | 0.08 |
| Punggol Primary | 240 | 38% | 6% | 42% | 0% | 42% | 62% | 78% | 0.08 |
| Qifa Primary | 210 | 40% | 18% | 51% | 4% | 52% | 118% | 100% | 0.00 |